Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2186.462288 2373.498809 2563.181956 2769.657889 2987.782948 3211.070889 3456.625390
2025-03-02 1867.747542 2144.339133 2435.732616 2764.443623 3123.772074 3503.506806 3933.994668
2025-03-09 1695.485307 2028.182588 2388.471193 2805.259381 3271.724443 3775.374554 4357.914975
2025-03-16 1524.333093 1891.443554 2298.769790 2780.339343 3330.194315 3934.623328 4645.373577
2025-03-23 1435.803636 1837.588989 2292.542358 2840.146308 3475.624649 4184.270497 5028.523919
2025-03-30 1336.540319 1762.140677 2253.475640 2854.897630 3563.393123 4363.907154 5328.959429
2025-04-06 1243.946932 1687.387182 2208.808027 2857.185402 3631.683901 4517.354782 5596.583024
2025-04-13 1118.388731 1564.372330 2099.195152 2775.383195 3594.893702 4543.735823 5712.697893
2025-04-20 1088.689678 1558.029229 2129.091853 2859.906373 3754.936314 4800.451841 6098.583929
2025-04-27 1042.891584 1528.022483 2127.130727 2903.304403 3863.914271 4995.991912 6412.469235
2025-05-04 980.369503 1472.723661 2090.339728 2900.791075 3914.752517 5120.569412 6641.186540
2025-05-11 915.738804 1411.056748 2042.297776 2881.290369 3942.289746 5215.320520 6833.038288
2025-05-18 875.571823 1381.003423 2034.483716 2913.106382 4034.932077 5391.608628 7127.297063
2025-05-25 823.057485 1331.507514 1999.195469 2908.043459 4080.307989 5509.794191 7351.582790
2025-06-01 793.083678 1311.474408 2001.377091 2950.353783 4184.914847 5700.873747 7665.598901
2025-06-08 739.778944 1255.685757 1953.215381 2924.516287 4200.752235 5780.501139 7841.756017
2025-06-15 722.055412 1249.853786 1971.916011 2986.521861 4329.413658 6001.408173 8193.717344
2025-06-22 689.198714 1220.202986 1956.509713 3001.813421 4396.749872 6144.950272 8449.718638
2025-06-29 654.127116 1185.459374 1932.497374 3004.184905 4446.255262 6265.452637 8676.941318
2025-07-06 593.270790 1108.666784 1846.507190 2919.377328 4378.456373 6234.559902 8711.996128
2025-07-13 589.867377 1119.898535 1885.749237 3007.005416 4540.079215 6498.503663 9121.527943
2025-07-20 573.752909 1110.404430 1894.525064 3051.987401 4644.695128 6689.439909 9439.248030
2025-07-27 544.595810 1078.823341 1869.990581 3049.382526 4684.631968 6796.386229 9649.975954